Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. #V. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Press Enter to view state-level map. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. And West Virginia is losing. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. 10. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Manage Settings The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Not one! The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Is Missouri a red state? Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. Vice versa for Montana. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Error! [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College.
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